BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 8 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =  149.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Home    W   144.07  46   0   NA  10 (  9-  4) St Xavier              -4.94 *   50.94                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   159.61  48  10   1B  66 (  3-  8) Eastern Illinois       10.60     27.40                      
  3 09/22/2018 Away    W   159.01  35  19   1A 109 (  3-  9) Colorado St            10.00      6.00                      
  4 09/29/2018 Away    L * 126.70  21  24   1B  39 (  4-  7) Missouri St           -22.31     19.31                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    W * 153.86  33  16   1B  20 (  5-  6) Western Illinois        4.85     12.15                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    W * 178.18  51   3   1B  36 (  2-  9) Southern Illinois      29.17     18.83                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    L * 156.52  14  28   1B   1 ( 14-  0) North Dakota St         7.51    -21.51                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    L * 146.67  28  38   1B   4 ( 10-  3) South Dakota St        -2.34     -7.66                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    L * 138.50  16  26   1B  10 (  7-  6) Northern Iowa         -10.51      0.51                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    L * 134.55  23  28   1B  23 (  7-  4) Indiana St            -14.46      9.46                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    W * 141.44  35  28   1B  37 (  4-  7) Youngstown St          -7.57     14.57                      
      Averages             149.01  31.8 20.0

Best game:  178.18 = 48 point win over Southern Illinois
Worst game: 126.70 = 3 point loss to Missouri St
Team stdev:  14.31